Scotiabank’s Commodity Price Index edged down in February by -0.3% m/m (-25.0% yr/yr) — the fourth consecutive monthly decline — but is expected to rally significantly in March. Commodity prices have rebounded across a broad front since mid-February amid some easing in concern over the outlook for China’s economy and a weaker U.S. dollar.
“Equally important, hedge & investment funds appear to be looking for reasons to bid commodity prices higher, after the rout of recent years. The Scotiabank Commodity Price Index is currently at a more than a decade low,” said Patricia Mohr, Vice President of Economics and Commodity Market Specialist at Scotiabank. “2016 should be a transition year for commodity prices, with the current slowdown in global capital spending in oil & gas and mining setting the stage for a strong rebound going into the next decade.”
The Oil & Gas Index once more led commodity prices lower in February (-7.4% m/m,-49.7% yr/yr). A decline in ‘Western Canadian Select (WCS) heavy’ and ‘light, sweet’ oil prices at Edmonton as well as exceptionally low Canadian natural gas export prices (US$2.08 per mmbtu) more than offset stronger propane prices at Edmonton & Sarnia. However, prices will rebound significantly in March.
Other highlights from the report include:
Read the full Scotiabank Commodity Price Index online at: http://www.scotiabank.com/ca/en/0,,3112,00.html.
Scotiabank provides clients with in-depth research into the factors shaping the outlook for Canada and the global economy, including macroeconomic developments, currency and capital market trends, commodity and industry performance, as well as monetary, fiscal and public policy issues.
Scotiabank is Canada’s international bank and a leading financial services provider in North America, Latin America, the Caribbean and Central America, and Asia-Pacific. We are dedicated to helping our 23 million customers become better off through a broad range of advice, products and services, including personal and commercial banking, wealth management and private banking, corporate and investment banking, and capital markets. With a team of more than 89,000 employees and assets of $920 billion (as at January 31, 2016), Scotiabank trades on the Toronto (TSX: BNS) and New York Exchanges (NYSE: BNS).
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