Ero Copper Corp. (TSX: ERO) (NYSE: ERO) is pleased to announce its 2023 production results, 2024 guidance and three-year production outlook.
HIGHLIGHTS
Record Gold Production Driven by Successful Completion of the NX 60 Initiative
Caraíba Mill Expansion Design Capacity Reached by Year-End
2024 Guidance
Three-Year Production Outlook
Commenting on the production results and 2024 guidance, David Strang, Chief Executive Officer, said: “Our 2023 production performance reflects the strong execution of our organic growth strategy, highlighted by the successful completion of the NX 60 initiative, which resulted in a 39% year-on-year increase in gold production. Although the completion of the mill expansion project at our Caraíba Operations necessitated additional plant downtime, culminating in full-year copper production that slightly missed our expectations, this milestone is pivotal for supporting higher sustained ore production volumes from the Pilar Mine over the long term.
“We have carried this strategic momentum into 2024 as we transition from construction to commissioning at the Tucumã Project, where we anticipate initial copper concentrate production in the second half of this year. With consolidated copper production on track to increase at least 35% this year and more than double in 2025, we are actively advancing our longer-term growth initiatives. These include construction of the new external shaft at the Caraíba Operations, continued nickel exploration throughout the Curaçá Valley, and preparing for the first phase of work at the Furnas Project.
“I am proud of the progress our team has made in executing major growth initiatives announced just over two years ago. We are committed to building upon this track record as we position Ero to deliver peer-leading growth in the years ahead.”
FOURTH QUARTER AND FULL-YEAR 2023 PRODUCTION RESULTS
Caraíba Operations
Xavantina Operations
2023 Guidance | ||||||||
Q4 2023 | Full Year 2023 | Original | Updated | |||||
Caraíba Operations | ||||||||
Tonnes Processed | 812,202 | 3,231,667 | 3,300,000 | — | ||||
Grade (% Cu) | 1.59 | 1.49 | 1.50 | — | ||||
Recovery Rate (%) | 91.0 | 91.4 | 91.5 | — | ||||
Cu Production (tonnes) | 11,760 | 43,857 | 44,000 – 47,000 | 44,000 – 47,000 | ||||
Xavantina Operations | ||||||||
Tonnes Processed | 34,416 | 136,002 | 175,000 | — | ||||
Grade (gpt Au) | 17.18 | 15.13 | 10.00 | — | ||||
Recovery Rate (%) | 88.7 | 89.5 | 92.0 | — | ||||
Au Production (oz) | 16,867 | 59,222 | 50,000 – 53,000 | 55,000 – 59,000 |
2024 PRODUCTION GUIDANCE AND THREE-YEAR PRODUCTION OUTLOOK
The Company’s 2024 production guidance and three-year production outlook reflect the ongoing execution of its organic growth strategy, including the successful completion of the Xavantina Operations’ NX 60 initiative as well as the anticipated completion of the Tucumã Project, which remains on track to commence production in the second half of this year. As a result, the Company expects to deliver sustained annual gold production of 55,000 to 60,000 ounces through 2026 and more than double copper production to 95,000 to 105,000 tonnes in concentrate in 2025.
At the Caraíba Operations, copper production is projected to range from 42,000 to 47,000 tonnes through 2026, with higher mill throughput volumes expected to offset lower forecast mined and processed copper grades. Following the anticipated completion of the Pilar Mine’s new external shaft in late 2026, the Company expects mined and processed copper grades to increase as mining from the high-grade Deepening Extension Zone ramps up.
Copper production from the Tucumã Operations is expected to increase from 17,000 to 25,000 tonnes in the second half of 2024 to 53,000 to 58,000 tonnes in 2025, when the mine achieves its first full year of production. The Tucumã mill is expected to sustain nameplate throughput levels of approximately 4.0 million tonnes per annum beginning in 2025 with strong mined and processed copper grades projected through 2026.
At the Xavantina Operations, higher mill throughput levels are expected to offset lower mined and processed gold grades over the next three years. In 2024, gold production is expected to be slightly weighted towards the first half of the year due to higher anticipated gold grades compared to the second half of the year.
2024 | 2025 | 2026 | ||||
Copper (tonnes) | ||||||
Caraíba Operations | 42,000 – 47,000 | 42,000 – 47,000 | 42,000 – 47,000 | |||
Tucumã Operations | 17,000 – 25,000 | 53,000 – 58,000 | 48,000 – 53,000 | |||
Total Copper | 59,000 – 72,000 | 95,000 – 105,000 | 90,000 – 100,000 | |||
Gold (ounces) | ||||||
Xavantina Operations | 55,000 – 60,000 | 55,000 – 60,000 | 55,000 – 60,000 |
Note: Guidance is based on estimates and assumptions including, but not limited to, mineral reserve estimates, grade and continuity of interpreted geological formations and metallurgical recovery performance. Please refer to the Company’s SEDAR+ and EDGAR filings, including the most recent Annual Information Form (“AIF”), for a detailed summary of risk factors.
2024 COST GUIDANCE
2024 copper C1 cash cost guidance on a consolidated basis is $1.50 to $1.75 per pound of copper produced. This range incorporates several key updates relative to previous 2024 C1 cash cost projections:
Furthermore, in light of changes to the Caraíba Operations’ copper concentrate sales channels, the Company has updated its copper C1 cash cost calculation methodology1. This change will be offset by an equal increase in reported realized copper prices.
At the Xavantina Operations, the C1 cash cost guidance range of $550 to $650 per ounce of gold produced reflects improved fixed cost efficiencies driven by higher expected gold production, partially offsetting the impact of planned decreases to mined and processed gold grades. The AISC guidance range for 2024 is $1,050 to $1,150 per ounce of gold produced.
2024 cost guidance assumes a foreign exchange rate of 5.00 USD:BRL, a gold price of $1,900 per ounce, and a silver price of $23.00 per ounce.
Copper C1 Cash Cost ($/lb) | ||
Caraíba Operations | $1.80 – $2.00 | |
Tucumã Operations | $0.90 – $1.10 | |
Consolidated Copper Operations | $1.50 – $1.75 | |
Gold C1 Cash Cost ($/oz) | $550 – $650 | |
Gold All-In Sustaining Cost ($/oz) | $1,050 – $1,150 |
Note: C1 Cash Costs and AISC are non-IFRS measures. Please see the Notes section of this press release for additional information.
2024 CAPITAL EXPENDITURE GUIDANCE
2024 capital expenditures are expected to decrease to a range of $299 to $349 million due to the anticipated completion of the Tucumã Project, which is on track to commence production in the second half of the year. As a result, capital spend is expected to be weighted towards the first half of 2024.
The table below includes an estimated $30 to $40 million of consolidated exploration expenditures. This estimate includes approximately $20 million designated for drilling activities at the Caraíba Operations, including expenditures related to the Curaçá Valley nickel exploration program. Additionally, the Company has budgeted approximately $6 million for the first phase of work at the Furnas Project.
The 2024 capital expenditure guidance assumes an exchange rate of 5.10 USD:BRL for the Tucumã Project based on designated foreign exchange hedges with a weighted average ceiling and floor of 5.10 and 5.23 USD:BRL, respectively. All other capital expenditures assume an exchange rate of 5.00 USD:BRL. Figures presented below are in USD millions.
Caraíba Operations | ||
Growth | $80 – $90 | |
Sustaining | $100 – $110 | |
Total | $180 – $200 | |
Tucumã Project | ||
Growth | $65 – $75 | |
Capitalized Ramp-Up Costs | $4 – $6 | |
Sustaining | $2 – $5 | |
Total | $71 – $86 | |
Xavantina Operations | ||
Growth | $3 – $5 | |
Sustaining | $15 – $18 | |
Total | $18 – $23 | |
Consolidated Exploration Programs | $30 – $40 | |
Consolidated Capital Expenditures | ||
Growth | $148 – $170 | |
Capitalized Ramp-Up Costs | $4 – $6 | |
Sustaining | $117 – $133 | |
Exploration | $30 – $40 | |
Total | $299 – $349 |
ABOUT ERO COPPER CORP
Ero is a high-margin, high-growth, low carbon-intensity copper producer with operations in Brazil and corporate headquarters in Vancouver, B.C. The Company’s primary asset is a 99.6% interest in the Brazilian copper mining company, Mineração Caraíba S.A. (“MCSA”), 100% owner of the Company’s Caraíba Operations (formerly known as the MCSA Mining Complex), which are located in the Curaçá Valley, Bahia State, Brazil and include the Pilar and Vermelhos underground mines and the Surubim open pit mine, and the Tucumã Project (formerly known as Boa Esperança), an IOCG-type copper project located in Pará, Brazil. The Company also owns 97.6% of NX Gold S.A. (“NX Gold”) which owns the Xavantina Operations (formerly known as the NX Gold Mine), comprised of an operating gold and silver mine located in Mato Grosso, Brazil. Additional information on the Company and its operations, including technical reports on the Caraíba Operations, Xavantina Operations and Tucumã Project, can be found on SEDAR+ at www.sedarplus.ca/landingpage/ and on EDGAR (www.sec.gov).
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