Scotiabank’s Commodity Price Index rebounded further in June — up +2.6% month-over-month (m/m) and +9.5% from the March 2015 low.
“In March, commodity prices plunged to the lowest level since January 2007 alongside a lacklustre global economy, with GDP growth in 2015 likely climbing at a subdued pace for the fourth consecutive year,” said Patricia Mohr, Vice President of Economics and Commodity Market Specialist at Scotiabank. “In addition, fierce competition for market share in oil and iron ore as well as a very strong U.S. dollar depressed gold and overall dollar-denominated commodity prices. However, a moderate rebound in oil prices — both international and domestic — lifted the All Items Index in the second quarter.
“Commodity prices corrected again in early July alongside a trifecta of negative developments — concern over the fallout on the Euro zone of the Greek debt situation, the sharp correction in China’s equity markets (-32% from peak to trough), and the prospect of an eventual return of Iran’s oil to world markets, following the nuclear accord (unlikely before 2016).”
Other highlights from the report include:
Read the full Scotiabank Commodity Price Index online at: http://www.scotiabank.com/ca/en/0,,3112,00.html.
Scotiabank provides clients with in-depth research into the factors shaping the outlook for Canada and the global economy, including macroeconomic developments, currency and capital market trends, commodity and industry performance, as well as monetary, fiscal and public policy issues.
Scotiabank is Canada’s international bank and a leading financial services provider in North America, Latin America, the Caribbean and Central America, and parts of Asia. We are dedicated to helping our 21 million customers become better off through a broad range of advice, products and services, including personal and commercial banking, wealth management and private banking, corporate and investment banking, and capital markets. With a team of more than 86,000 employees and assets of $837 billion (as at April 30, 2015).
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