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Strong year-to-date copper performance and higher gold grades in Q4 expected to drive delivery of 2022 production guidance

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Strong year-to-date copper performance and higher gold grades in Q4 expected to drive delivery of 2022 production guidance

 

 

 

 

 

 

Barrick Gold Corporation (NYSE:GOLD) (TSX:ABX) reported preliminary Q3 sales of 1.00 million ounces of gold and 120 million pounds of copper, as well as preliminary Q3 production of 0.99 million ounces of gold and 123 million pounds of copper. Access to high grade ore that was previously expected in late Q3 at Nevada Gold Mines is now scheduled for Q4, which should drive a strong finish to the year. Barrick remains on track to achieve 2022 production guidance1, with gold expected to be at the low end of the range and copper expected to be at the midpoint.

 

The average market price for gold in Q3 was $1,729 per ounce and the closing price at the end of the quarter was $1,672 per ounce. The average market price for copper in Q3 was $3.51 per pound. The Company’s third quarter realized copper price2 is expected to be 7 to 9% below the third quarter average market price for copper, primarily as a result of provisional pricing adjustments3 that reflect the decrease in the copper price near the end of Q3.

 

Preliminary Q3 gold production was lower than Q2 as a strong performance from Pueblo Viejo was offset by lower production at Veladero, Carlin and Turquoise Ridge. In addition, production at Long Canyon was lower than Q2 following the completion of Phase 1 mining in May 2022, as previously disclosed. Compared to Q2, Q3 gold cost of sales per ounce4 is expected to be in line with the prior quarter, while total cash costs per ounce5 and all-in sustaining costs per ounce5 are both expected to be 3% to 5% higher.

 

Preliminary Q3 copper production was higher than Q2, driven by strong performance from Lumwana. Compared to Q2, Q3 copper cost of sales per pound4, C1 cash costs per pound5 and all-in sustaining costs per pound5 are all expected to be 8 to 10% higher, mainly due to slightly lower grade and a higher strip ratio at Lumwana, as well as higher input costs at Zaldívar.

 

Barrick will provide additional discussion and analysis regarding its third quarter 2022 production and sales when the Company reports its quarterly results before North American markets open on November 3, 2022.

 

The following table includes preliminary gold and copper production and sales results from Barrick’s operations:

 

  Three months ended Nine months ended
  September 30, 2022 September 30, 2022
  Production Sales Production Sales
Gold (attributable ounces (000))    
Carlin (61.5%) 229 226 701 702
Cortez (61.5%) 98 99 310 312
Turquoise Ridge (61.5%) 62 64 204 204
Long Canyon (61.5%) 6 6 52 52
Phoenix (61.5%) 30 29 79 75
Nevada Gold Mines (61.5%) 425 424 1,346 1,345
Loulo-Gounkoto (80%) 130 129 408 407
Pueblo Viejo (60%) 121 124 330 330
Kibali (45%) 83 88 240 238
North Mara (84%) 71 70 193 195
Bulyanhulu (84%) 48 50 147 156
Veladero (50%) 41 44 145 146
Tongon (89.7%) 41 41 117 119
Hemlo 28 27 95 94
Total Gold 988 997 3,021 3,030
         
         
Copper (attributable pounds (millions))    
Lumwana 82 79 214 220
Zaldívar (50%) 23 24 73 74
Jabal Sayid (50%) 18 17 57 52
Total Copper 123 120 344 346

 

 

Technical Information

 

The scientific and technical information contained in this news release has been reviewed and approved by: Craig Fiddes, SME-RM, Manager – Resource Modeling, Nevada Gold Mines; Chad Yuhasz, P.Geo, Mineral Resource Manager, Latin America and Asia Pacific; and Simon Bottoms, CGeol, MGeol, FGS, FAusIMM, Mineral Resource Management and Evaluation Executive (Mr. Bottoms held the title of Mineral Resources Manager: Africa & Middle East until September 30, 2022, and was promoted to Mineral Resource Management and Evaluation Executive effective October 1, 2022) — each a “Qualified Person” as defined in National Instrument 43-101 – Standards of Disclosure for Mineral Projects.

 

Endnote 1

 

Porgera has been on temporary care and maintenance since April 2020 and is not currently included in our full year 2022 guidance. On April 9, 2021, the Government of Papua New Guinea and Barrick Niugini Limited, the operator of the Porgera joint venture, signed a Framework Agreement in which they agreed on a partnership for Porgera’s future ownership and operation. On February 3, 2022, the Framework Agreement was replaced by the more detailed Porgera Project Commencement Agreement (the “Commencement Agreement”). We expect to update our guidance to include Porgera following both the execution of definitive agreements to implement the binding Commencement Agreement and the finalization of a timeline for the resumption of full mine operations.

 

Endnote 2

 

Copper realized price is a non-GAAP financial measure which excludes from sales: (i) unrealized gains and losses on non-hedge derivative contracts; (ii) sales attributable to ore purchase arrangements; and (iii) treatment and refining charges.

 

The gains and losses on non-hedge derivatives and receivable balances relate to instruments/balances that mature in future periods, at which time the gains and losses will become realized. The amounts of these gains and losses reflect fair values based on market valuation assumptions at the end of each period and do not necessarily represent the amounts that will become realized on maturity. For those reasons, management believes that this measure provides a more accurate reflection of our company’s past performance and is a better indicator of its expected performance in future periods.

 

The realized price measure is intended to provide additional information, and does not have any standardized definition under IFRS and should not be considered in isolation or as a substitute for measures of performance prepared in accordance with IFRS. The measure is not necessarily indicative of sales as determined under IFRS. Other companies may calculate this measure differently.

 

Barrick will provide a full reconciliation of this non-GAAP financial measure when the Company reports its quarterly results on November 3, 2022.

 

Endnote 3

 

The sales price for Barrick’s copper production is determined provisionally at the date of sale with the final price determined based on market copper prices at a future date set by the customer, generally one to three months after the initial date of sale. Market prices for copper may fluctuate during this extended settlement period. The prices of Barrick’s copper sales are marked-to-market at the balance sheet date based on the forward copper price for the relevant quotational period. All such mark-to-market adjustments are recorded in copper sale revenues. If the market price for copper declines, the final sale price realized by the company at settlement may be lower than the provisional sale price initially recognized by the company, requiring negative adjustments to Barrick’s average realized copper price for the relevant period.

 

Endnote 4

 

Gold cost of sales per ounce is calculated as cost of sales across our gold operations (excluding sites in care and maintenance) divided by ounces sold (both on an attributable basis based on Barrick’s ownership share). Copper cost of sales per pound is calculated as cost of sales across our copper operations divided by pounds sold (both on an attributable basis based on Barrick’s ownership share).

 

References to attributable basis means our 100% share of Hemlo and Lumwana, our 89.7% share of Tongon, our 84% share of North Mara, Bulyanhulu and Buzwagi, our 80% share of Loulo-Gounkoto, our 61.5% share of Nevada Gold Mines, our 60% share of Pueblo Viejo, our 50% share of Veladero, Zaldívar and Jabal Sayid and our 45% share of Kibali.

 

Endnote 5

 

Total cash costs per ounce, all-in sustaining costs per ounce and all-in costs per ounce are non-GAAP financial measures which are calculated based on the definition published by the World Gold Council (‘WGC’) (a market development organization for the gold industry comprised of and funded by gold mining companies from around the world, including Barrick). The WGC is not a regulatory organization. Management uses these measures to monitor the performance of our gold mining operations and its ability to generate positive cash flow, both on an individual site basis and an overall company basis.

 

Total cash costs start with our cost of sales related to gold production and removes depreciation, the non-controlling interest of cost of sales and includes by-product credits. All-in sustaining costs start with total cash costs and include sustaining capital expenditures, sustaining leases, general and administrative costs, minesite exploration and evaluation costs and reclamation cost accretion and amortization. These additional costs reflect the expenditures made to maintain current production levels.

 

We believe that our use of total cash costs, all-in sustaining costs and all-in costs will assist analysts, investors and other stakeholders of Barrick in understanding the costs associated with producing gold, understanding the economics of gold mining, assessing our operating performance and also our ability to generate free cash flow from current operations and to generate free cash flow on an overall company basis. Due to the capital-intensive nature of the industry and the long useful lives over which these items are depreciated, there can be a significant timing difference between net earnings calculated in accordance with IFRS and the amount of free cash flow that is being generated by a mine and therefore we believe these measures are useful non-GAAP operating metrics and supplement our IFRS disclosures. These measures are not representative of all of our cash expenditures as they do not include income tax payments, interest costs or dividend payments. These measures do not include depreciation or amortization.

 

Total cash costs per ounce, all-in sustaining costs and all-in costs are intended to provide additional information only and do not have standardized definitions under IFRS and should not be considered in isolation or as a substitute for measures of performance prepared in accordance with IFRS. These measures are not equivalent to net income or cash flow from operations as determined under IFRS. Although the WGC has published a standardized definition, other companies may calculate these measures differently.

 

C1 cash costs per pound and all-in sustaining costs per pound are non-GAAP financial measures related to our copper mine operations. We believe that C1 cash costs per pound enables investors to better understand the performance of our copper operations in comparison to other copper producers who present results on a similar basis. C1 cash costs per pound excludes royalties and production taxes and non-routine charges as they are not direct production costs. All-in sustaining costs per pound is similar to the gold all-in sustaining costs metric and management uses this to better evaluate the costs of copper production. We believe this measure enables investors to better understand the operating performance of our copper mines as this measure reflects all of the sustaining expenditures incurred in order to produce copper. All-in sustaining costs per pound includes C1 cash costs, sustaining capital expenditures, sustaining leases, general and administrative costs, minesite exploration and evaluation costs, royalties and production taxes, reclamation cost accretion and amortization and write-downs taken on inventory to net realizable value.

 

Barrick will provide a full reconciliation of these non-GAAP financial measures when the Company reports its quarterly results on November 3, 2022.

 

Posted October 15, 2022

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