Ero Copper Corp. (TSX: ERO) (NYSE: ERO) is pleased to announce its operating and financial results for the three months ended March 31, 2024.
HIGHLIGHTS
(*) These are non-IFRS measures and do not have a standardized meaning prescribed by IFRS and might not be comparable to similar financial measures disclosed by other issuers. Please refer to the Company’s discussion of Non-IFRS measures in its Management’s Discussion and Analysis for the three months ended March 31, 2024 and the Reconciliation of Non-IFRS Measures section at the end of this press release.
“The Xavantina Operations continued to exceed our expectations during the first quarter, achieving record gold production driven by favorable grade reconciliations that have continued into the second quarter,” said David Strang, Chief Executive Officer. “This trend has allowed us to increase our full-year gold production guidance, which we expect will translate to achieving the lower end of our 2024 gold cost guidance.
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“Our first quarter financial results also showcase Xavantina’s strong performance and reflect the sale of copper concentrate inventories carried over from the fourth quarter of 2023 at the CaraÃba Operations. Combined with a strengthening gold and copper price environment, we are off to a solid start to 2024.
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“I am also delighted to report that commissioning is advancing ahead of schedule at the Tucumã Project, and we expect to achieve first production early in the third quarter. With copper fundamentals stronger than ever, we are committed to maintaining our momentum and are excited as we near a significant inflection point in our growth trajectory.”
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FIRST QUARTER REVIEW
Figure 1: The Tucumã Project’s flotation circuit and tailings thickener (May 2024).
Figure 2: Tailings thickener at the Tucumã Project (May 2024).
Figure 3: Exposed sulphide ore at the Tucumã Project (May 2024).
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SUBSEQUENT EVENTS
To support the commencement of production and associated working capital needs at the Tucumã Project, the Company entered into a $50.0 million non-priced copper prepayment facility in May 2024, structured by the Bank of Montreal and with participation by CIBC Capital Markets. This facility will be repaid over 27 equal monthly installments, beginning in October 2024, through the delivery of 272 tonnes of copper each month. Should any delivery exceed the monthly amortization payment of $2.1 million based on prevailing market prices, the excess value will be repaid to the Company.
Through the end of 2024, the Company has the option to increase the size of the non-priced copper prepayment facility from $50.0 million to $75.0 million.
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OPERATING AND FINANCIAL HIGHLIGHTS
2024 – Q1 | 2023 – Q4 | 2023 – Q1 | ||||||||||
Operating Information | ||||||||||||
Copper (CaraÃba Operations) | ||||||||||||
Ore Processed (tonnes) | 853,371 | 812,202 | 772,548 | |||||||||
Grade (% Cu) | 1.08 | 1.59 | 1.33 | |||||||||
Cu Production (tonnes) | 8,091 | 11,760 | 9,327 | |||||||||
Cu Production (000 lbs) | 17,838 | 25,926 | 20,564 | |||||||||
Cu Sold in Concentrate (tonnes) | 9,461 | 11,429 | 9,464 | |||||||||
Cu Sold in Concentrate (000 lbs) | 20,859 | 25,197 | 20,865 | |||||||||
Cu C1 cash cost(1)(2) | $ | 2.30 | $ | 1.75 | $ | 1.89 | ||||||
Gold (Xavantina Operations) | ||||||||||||
Ore Processed (tonnes) | 37,834 | 34,416 | 35,763 | |||||||||
Grade (g / tonne) | 16.38 | 17.18 | 11.85 | |||||||||
Au Production (oz) | 18,234 | 16,867 | 12,443 | |||||||||
Au C1 cash cost(1) | $ | 395 | $ | 413 | $ | 436 | ||||||
Au AISC(1) | $ | 797 | $ | 991 | $ | 946 | ||||||
Financial Highlights ($ in millions, except per share amounts) | ||||||||||||
Revenues | $ | 105.8 | $ | 116.4 | $ | 101.0 | ||||||
Gross profit | 31.2 | 41.9 | 40.1 | |||||||||
EBITDA(1) | 17.8 | 73.7 | 48.1 | |||||||||
Adjusted EBITDA(1) | 43.3 | 50.3 | 44.5 | |||||||||
Cash flow from operations | 17.2 | 49.4 | 16.4 | |||||||||
Net (loss) income | (6.8 | ) | 37.1 | 24.5 | ||||||||
Net (loss) income attributable to owners of the Company | (7.1 | ) | 36.5 | 24.2 | ||||||||
Per share (basic) | (0.07 | ) | 0.37 | 0.26 | ||||||||
Per share (diluted) | (0.07 | ) | 0.37 | 0.26 | ||||||||
Adjusted net income attributable to owners of the Company(1) | 16.8 | 20.7 | 22.5 | |||||||||
Per share (basic) | 0.16 | 0.21 | 0.24 | |||||||||
Per share (diluted) | 0.16 | 0.21 | 0.24 | |||||||||
Cash, cash equivalents, and short-term investments | 51.7 | 111.7 | 236.6 | |||||||||
Working (deficit) capital(1) | (28.6 | ) | 25.7 | 218.8 | ||||||||
Net debt(1) | 415.1 | 314.5 | 174.2 |
(1) EBITDA, adjusted EBITDA, adjusted net income (loss) attributable to owners of the Company, adjusted net income (loss) per share attributable to owners of the Company, net (cash) debt, working capital, copper C1 cash cost, copper C1 cash cost including foreign exchange hedges, gold C1 cash cost and gold AISC are non-IFRS measures. These measures do not have a standardized meaning prescribed by IFRS and might not be comparable to similar financial measures disclosed by other issuers. Please refer to the Company’s discussion of Non-IFRS measures in its Management’s Discussion and Analysis for the three months ended March 31, 2024 and the Reconciliation of Non-IFRS Measures section at the end of this press release.
(2) Copper C1 cash cost including foreign exchange hedges (per lb) in Q1 2024 was $2.28, compared to $1.84 in Q1 2023.
2024 PRODUCTION AND COST GUIDANCE(*)
Following record operating performance at the Xavantina Operations during the quarter, the Company is increasing its 2024 gold production guidance from 55,000 to 60,000 ounces to a range of 60,000 to 65,000 ounces. The Company expects mined and processed gold grades to remain above plan through the remainder of H1 2024, as positive grade reconciliations have continued into Q2 2024. While this trend may continue beyond Q2 2024, the Company is projecting a reversion to long-term block model grades for planned mining areas in H2 2024. As a result of higher full-year production expectations, the Company is guiding towards the low end of its full-year cost guidance for the Xavantina Operations.
Consolidated copper production of 59,000 to 72,000 tonnes in concentrate is expected to be weighted towards H2 2024, largely due to the anticipated commencement of production at the Tucumã Project in early Q3 2024. Consequently, consolidated copper C1 cash costs are projected to be lower in H2 2024 versus H1 2024.
The Company’s updated cost guidance for 2024 assumes a foreign exchange rate of 5.00 BRL per USD, a gold price of $1,900 per ounce and a silver price of $23.00 per ounce.
Previous Guidance | Updated Guidance | |||
Consolidated Copper Production (tonnes) | ||||
CaraÃba Operations | 42,000 – 47,000 | Unchanged | ||
Tucumã Operations | 17,000 – 25,000 | Unchanged | ||
Total | 59,000 – 72,000 | Unchanged | ||
Consolidated Copper C1 Cash Costs(1) Guidance | ||||
CaraÃba Operations | $1.80 – $2.00 | Unchanged | ||
Tucumã Operations | $0.90 – $1.10 | Unchanged | ||
Total | $1.50 – $1.75 | Unchanged | ||
The Xavantina Operations | ||||
Au Production (ounces) | 55,000 – 60,000 | 60,000 – 65,000 | ||
Gold C1 Cash Cost(1) Guidance | $550 – $650 | Low End of Range | ||
Gold AISC(1) Guidance | $1,050 – $1,150 | Low End of Range |
*  Guidance is based on certain estimates and assumptions, including but not limited to, mineral reserve estimates, grade and continuity of interpreted geological formations and metallurgical performance. Please refer to the Company’s most recent Annual Information Form and Management of Risks and Uncertainties in the MD&A for complete risk factors.
(1) Please refer to the section titled “Alternative Performance (Non-IFRS) Measures” within the MD&A.
2024 CAPITAL EXPENDITURE GUIDANCE(*)
Full-year capital expenditures are projected to range from $299 to $349 million, including an estimated $30 to $40 million allocated to consolidated exploration programs. As the Company nears completion of the Tucumã Project, capital expenditures are expected to decrease in Q2 2024 compared to Q1 2024 and be weighted towards H1 2024.
Capital expenditure guidance assumes an exchange rate of 5.10 USD:BRL for the Tucumã Project based on designated foreign exchange hedges with a weighted average ceiling and floor of 5.10 and 5.23 USD:BRL, respectively. All other capital expenditures assume an exchange rate of 5.00 USD:BRL. Figures presented below are in USD millions.
CaraÃba Operations | ||
Growth | $80 – $90 | |
Sustaining | $100 – $110 | |
Total, CaraÃba Operations | $180 – $200 | |
Tucumã Project | ||
Growth | $65 – $75 | |
Capitalized Ramp-Up Costs | $4 – $6 | |
Sustaining | $2 – $5 | |
Total, Tucumã Project | $71 – $86 | |
Xavantina Operations | ||
Growth | $3 – $5 | |
Sustaining | $15 – $18 | |
Total, Xavantina Operations | $18 – $23 | |
Consolidated Exploration Programs | $30 – $40 | |
Company Total | ||
Growth | $148 – $170 | |
Capitalized Ramp-Up Costs | $4 – $6 | |
Sustaining | $117 – $133 | |
Exploration | $30 – $40 | |
Total, Company | $299 – $349 |
(*) Guidance is based on certain estimates and assumptions, including but not limited to, mineral reserve estimates, grade and continuity of interpreted geological formations and metallurgical performance. Please refer to the Company’s most recent Annual Information Form and Management of Risks and Uncertainties in the MD&A for complete risk factors.
Reconciliation of Non-IFRS Measures
Financial results of the Company are presented in accordance with IFRS. The Company utilizes certain alternative performance (non-IFRS) measures to monitor its performance, including copper C1 cash cost, copper C1 cash cost including foreign exchange hedges, gold C1 cash cost, gold AISC, EBITDA, adjusted EBITDA, adjusted net income attributable to owners of the Company, adjusted net income per share, net (cash) debt, working capital and available liquidity. These performance measures have no standardized meaning prescribed within generally accepted accounting principles under IFRS and, therefore, amounts presented may not be comparable to similar measures presented by other mining companies. These non-IFRS measures are intended to provide supplemental information and should not be considered in isolation or as a substitute for measures of performance prepared in accordance with IFRS.
For additional details please refer to the Company’s discussion of non-IFRS and other performance measures in its Management’s Discussion and Analysis for the three months ended March 31, 2024 which is available on SEDAR+ at www.sedarplus.ca, and on EDGAR at www.sec.gov.
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Copper C1 cash cost and copper C1 cash cost including foreign exchange hedges
The following table provides a reconciliation of copper C1 cash cost to cost of production, its most directly comparable IFRS measure.
Reconciliation: | 2024 – Q1 | 2023 – Q4 | 2023 – Q1 | |||||||||
Cost of production | $ | 42,227 | $ | 39,790 | $ | 36,285 | ||||||
Add (less): | ||||||||||||
Transportation costs & other | 1,252 | 1,853 | 1,339 | |||||||||
Treatment, refining, and other | 5,170 | 7,332 | 6,463 | |||||||||
By-product credits | (2,440 | ) | (3,394 | ) | (2,810 | ) | ||||||
Incentive payments | (1,199 | ) | (1,693 | ) | (1,237 | ) | ||||||
Net change in inventory | (3,893 | ) | 1,434 | (1,185 | ) | |||||||
Foreign exchange translation and other | (7 | ) | 20 | 15 | ||||||||
C1 cash costs | 41,110 | 45,342 | 38,870 | |||||||||
(Gain) loss on foreign exchange hedges | (276 | ) | (4,185 | ) | (932 | ) | ||||||
C1 cash costs including foreign exchange hedges | $ | 40,834 | $ | 41,157 | $ | 37,938 |
Mining | $ | 25,256 | $ | 26,646 | $ | 23,210 | ||||||
Processing | 7,177 | 8,177 | 6,554 | |||||||||
Indirect | 5,947 | 6,581 | 5,453 | |||||||||
Production costs | 38,380 | 41,404 | 35,217 | |||||||||
By-product credits | (2,440 | ) | (3,394 | ) | (2,810 | ) | ||||||
Treatment, refining and other | 5,170 | 7,332 | 6,463 | |||||||||
C1 cash costs | 41,110 | 45,342 | 38,870 | |||||||||
(Gain) loss on foreign exchange hedges | (276 | ) | (4,185 | ) | (932 | ) | ||||||
C1 cash costs including foreign exchange hedges | $ | 40,834 | $ | 41,157 | $ | 37,938 | ||||||
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Costs per pound  |
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Payable copper produced (lb, 000) | 17,838 | 25,926 | 20,564 | |||||||||
Mining | $ | 1.42 | $ | 1.03 | $ | 1.13 | ||||||
Processing | $ | 0.40 | $ | 0.32 | $ | 0.32 | ||||||
Indirect | $ | 0.33 | $ | 0.25 | $ | 0.27 | ||||||
By-product credits | $ | (0.14 | ) | $ | (0.13 | ) | $ | (0.14 | ) | |||
Treatment, refining and other | $ | 0.29 | $ | 0.28 | $ | 0.31 | ||||||
Copper C1 cash costs | $ | 2.30 | $ | 1.75 | $ | 1.89 | ||||||
(Gain) loss on foreign exchange hedges | $ | (0.02 | ) | $ | (0.16 | ) | $ | (0.05 | ) | |||
Copper C1 cash costs including foreign exchange hedges | $ | 2.28 | $ | 1.59 | $ | 1.84 |
Gold C1 cash cost and gold AISC
The following table provides a reconciliation of gold C1 cash cost and gold AISC to cost of production, its most directly comparable IFRS measure.
Reconciliation: | 2024 – Q1 | 2023 – Q4 | 2023 – Q1 | |||||||||
Cost of production | $ | 7,255 | $ | 7,122 | $ | 6,107 | ||||||
Add (less): | ||||||||||||
Incentive payments | (443 | ) | (386 | ) | (407 | ) | ||||||
Net change in inventory | 264 | 65 | (352 | ) | ||||||||
By-product credits | (189 | ) | (248 | ) | (176 | ) | ||||||
Smelting and refining | 90 | 113 | 76 | |||||||||
Foreign exchange translation and other | 232 | 296 | 176 | |||||||||
C1 cash costs | $ | 7,209 | $ | 6,962 | $ | 5,424 | ||||||
Site general and administrative | 1,353 | 1,492 | 1,232 | |||||||||
Accretion of mine closure and rehabilitation provision | 92 | 111 | 105 | |||||||||
Sustaining capital expenditure | 3,254 | 5,499 | 3,013 | |||||||||
Sustaining lease payments | 2,122 | 1,861 | 1,660 | |||||||||
Royalties and production taxes | 510 | 785 | 338 | |||||||||
AISC | $ | 14,540 | $ | 16,710 | $ | 11,772 |
Costs | ||||||||||||
Mining | $ | 3,820 | $ | 3,430 | $ | 2,567 | ||||||
Processing | 2,259 | 2,315 | 1,905 | |||||||||
Indirect | 1,229 | 1,352 | 1,052 | |||||||||
Production costs | 7,308 | 7,097 | 5,524 | |||||||||
Smelting and refining costs | 90 | 113 | 76 | |||||||||
By-product credits | (189 | ) | (248 | ) | (176 | ) | ||||||
C1 cash costs | $ | 7,209 | $ | 6,962 | $ | 5,424 | ||||||
Site general and administrative | 1,353 | 1,492 | 1,232 | |||||||||
Accretion of mine closure and rehabilitation provision | 92 | 111 | 105 | |||||||||
Sustaining capital expenditure | 3,254 | 5,499 | 3,013 | |||||||||
Sustaining leases | 2,122 | 1,861 | 1,660 | |||||||||
Royalties and production taxes | 510 | 785 | 338 | |||||||||
AISC | $ | 14,540 | $ | 16,710 | $ | 11,772 | ||||||
|
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Costs per ounce | ||||||||||||
Payable gold produced (ounces) | 18,234 | 16,867 | 12,443 | |||||||||
Mining | $ | 209 | $ | 203 | $ | 206 | ||||||
Processing | $ | 124 | $ | 137 | $ | 153 | ||||||
Indirect | $ | 67 | $ | 80 | $ | 85 | ||||||
Smelting and refining | $ | 5 | $ | 7 | $ | 6 | ||||||
By-product credits | $ | (10 | ) | $ | (14 | ) | $ | (14 | ) | |||
Gold C1 cash cost | $ | 395 | $ | 413 | $ | 436 | ||||||
Gold AISC | $ | 797 | $ | 991 | $ | 946 |
Earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation and amortization (EBITDA) and Adjusted EBITDA
The following table provides a reconciliation of EBITDA and Adjusted EBITDA to net income, its most directly comparable IFRS measure.
Reconciliation: | 2024 – Q1 | 2023 – Q4 | 2023 – Q1 | |||||||||
Net (Loss) Income | $ | (6,830 | ) | $ | 37,052 | $ | 24,500 | |||||
Adjustments: | ||||||||||||
Finance expense | 4,634 | 5,284 | 6,526 | |||||||||
Finance income | (1,468 | ) | (1,989 | ) | (4,138 | ) | ||||||
Income tax (recovery) expense | (1,853 | ) | 8,415 | 4,666 | ||||||||
Amortization and depreciation | 23,296 | 24,980 | 16,506 | |||||||||
EBITDA | $ | 17,779 | $ | 73,742 | $ | 48,060 | ||||||
Foreign exchange loss (gain) | 18,996 | (24,871 | ) | (8,621 | ) | |||||||
Share based compensation | 6,545 | 477 | 5,017 | |||||||||
Unrealized (gain) loss on copper derivatives | (64 | ) | 955 | — | ||||||||
Adjusted EBITDA | $ | 43,256 | $ | 50,303 | $ | 44,456 |
Adjusted net income attributable to owners of the Company and Adjusted net income per share attributable to owners of the Company
The following table provides a reconciliation of Adjusted net income attributable to owners of the Company and Adjusted EPS to net income attributable to the owners of the Company, its most directly comparable IFRS measure.
Reconciliation: | 2024 – Q1 | 2023 – Q4 | 2023 – Q1 | |||||||||
Net (loss) income as reported attributable to the owners of the Company | $ | (7,141 | ) | $ | 36,549 | $ | 24,154 | |||||
Adjustments: | ||||||||||||
Share based compensation | 6,545 | 477 | 5,017 | |||||||||
Unrealized foreign exchange loss (gain) on USD denominated balances in MCSA | 11,257 | (10,308 | ) | (4,753 | ) | |||||||
Unrealized foreign exchange loss (gain) on foreign exchange derivative contracts | 9,304 | (9,852 | ) | (3,152 | ) | |||||||
Unrealized (gain) loss on copper derivative contracts | (64 | ) | 951 | — | ||||||||
Tax effect on the above adjustments | (3,128 | ) | 2,932 | 1,208 | ||||||||
Adjusted net income attributable to owners of the Company | $ | 16,773 | $ | 20,749 | $ | 22,474 | ||||||
Weighted average number of common shares | ||||||||||||
Basic | 102,769,444 | 98,099,791 | 92,294,045 | |||||||||
Diluted | 103,242,437 | 98,482,755 | 93,218,281 | |||||||||
Adjusted EPS | ||||||||||||
Basic | $ | 0.16 | $ | 0.21 | $ | 0.24 | ||||||
Diluted | $ | 0.16 | $ | 0.21 | $ | 0.24 |
Net (Cash) Debt
The following table provides a calculation of net (cash) debt based on amounts presented in the Company’s condensed consolidated interim financial statements as at the periods presented.
March 31, 2024 |
December 31, 2023 |
March 31, 2023 |
|||||||||
Current portion of loans and borrowings | $ | 16,059 | $ | 20,381 | $ | 9,221 | |||||
Long-term portion of loans and borrowings | 450,743 | 405,852 | 401,595 | ||||||||
Less: | |||||||||||
Cash and cash equivalents | (51,692 | ) | (111,738 | ) | (209,908 | ) | |||||
Short-term investments | — | — | (26,739 | ) | |||||||
Net debt (cash) | $ | 415,110 | $ | 314,495 | $ | 174,169 |
Working Capital and Available Liquidity
The following table provides a calculation for these based on amounts presented in the Company’s condensed consolidated interim financial statements as at the periods presented.
March 31, 2024 |
December 31, 2023 |
March 31, 2023 |
|||||||||
Current assets | $ | Â Â Â Â Â Â Â Â Â Â Â 129,960Â | $ | 199,487 | $ | 331,241 | |||||
Less: Current liabilities | Â Â Â Â Â Â Â Â Â Â Â Â (158,565 | ) | (173,800 | ) | (112,448 | ) | |||||
Working (deficit) capital | $ | Â Â Â Â Â Â Â Â Â Â Â Â (28,605 | ) | $ | 25,687 | $ | 218,793 | ||||
Cash and cash equivalents | Â Â Â Â Â Â Â Â Â Â Â Â Â Â Â 51,692Â | 111,738 | 209,908 | ||||||||
Short-term investments |                       — | — | 26,739 | ||||||||
Available undrawn revolving credit facilities | Â Â Â Â Â Â Â Â Â Â Â Â Â 105,000Â | 150,000 | 150,000 | ||||||||
Available liquidity | $ | Â Â Â Â Â Â Â Â Â Â Â 156,692Â | $ | 261,738 | $ | 386,647 |
ABOUT ERO COPPER CORP
Ero is a high-margin, high-growth, low carbon-intensity copper producer with operations in Brazil and corporate headquarters in Vancouver, B.C., Canada. The Company’s primary asset is a 99.6% interest in the Brazilian copper mining company, Mineração CaraÃba S.A. 100% owner of the Company’s CaraÃba Operations (formerly known as the MCSA Mining Complex), which are located in the Curaçá Valley, Bahia State, Brazil and include the Pilar and Vermelhos underground mines and the Surubim open pit mine, and the Tucumã Project (formerly known as Boa Esperança), an IOCG-type copper project located in Pará, Brazil. The Company also owns 97.6% of NX Gold S.A. which owns the Xavantina Operations (formerly known as the NX Gold Mine), comprised of an operating gold and silver mine located in Mato Grosso, Brazil. Additional information on the Company and its operations, including technical reports on the CaraÃba Operations, Xavantina Operations and Tucumã Project, can be found on the Company’s website (www.erocopper.com), on SEDAR+ (www.sedarplus.ca), and on EDGAR (www.sec.gov).
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